Research Paper Seven Deadly Sins A Lesson Before Dying Persuasive Essay
He proposes rather sensible ways of thinking about regulations for Artificial Intelligence deployment, rather than the chicken little “the sky is falling” calls for regulation of research and knowledge that we have seen from people who really, really, should know a little better. [I try to maintain professional language, but sometimes…] For instance, it appears to say that we will go from 1 million grounds and maintenance workers in the US to only 50,000 in 10 to 20 years, because robots will take over those jobs.Today, there is a story in Market Watch that robots will take half of today’s jobs in 10 to 20 years. How many robots are currently operational in those jobs? How many realistic demonstrations have there been of robots working in this arena? Similar stories apply to all the other job categories in this diagram where it is suggested that there will be massive disruptions of 90%, and even as much as 97%, in jobs that currently require physical presence at some particular job site.Even if it is possible I personally think we are far, far further away from understanding how to build AGI than many other pundits might say.
We currently have no programs that can understand a one page program as well as a new student in computer science can understand such a program after just one month of taking their very first class in programming.We are surrounded by hysteria about the future of Artificial Intelligence and Robotics.There is hysteria about how powerful they will become how quickly, and there is hysteria about what they will do to jobs.I am going to first list the four such general topic areas of predictions that I notice, along with a brief assessment of where I think they currently stand. Here the idea is that we will build autonomous agents that operate much like beings in the world.This has always been my own motivation for working in robotics and AI, but the recent successes of AI are not at all like this.I would never have started working on Artificial Intelligence if I did not believe that.However perhaps we humans are just not smart enough to figure out how to do this–see my remarks on humility in my post on the current state of Artificial Intelligence suitable for deployment in robotics.Mistaken predictions lead to fear of things that are not going to happen.Why are people making mistakes in predictions about Artificial Intelligence and robotics, so that Oren Etzioni, I, and others, need to spend time pushing back on them?This particular error of prediction is very much driven by exponentialism, and I will address that as one of the seven common mistakes that people make.Even if there is a lot of computer power around it does not mean we are close to having programs that can do research in Artificial Intelligence, and rewrite their own code to get better and better.